Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 18 giu 2026, 23:24 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeMay 31 0%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 giorni fa
Obsoleto20 mag 26, 19:0331 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
June 302%
Confronta le piattaforme· December 31
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto93% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 12% | — | 15,9K € | 183,4K € | 4 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 12% | — | — | — | 23 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
1.0%5m
+1.0%12%
+1.5%7%
+0.1%1%
+4 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale24,9 Mln €
Volume 24h15,9K €
POLYMARKETRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.