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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]
Manifold Markets

Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]

PoliticaTecnologiaGeopoliticaSport6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
January 100%
In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori

143

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

2 gen 26, 18:2931 dic 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

May3%

Regole

For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.

Manifold Markets
  • This is determined based on the following method:
  • On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
  • Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
  • Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
  • Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].

Mercati Correlati

Manifold Markets

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

915,8 €
Sì: 13.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

87,2 €
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization": 78.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

69,4 €
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 86.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

5,8 €
United States: 61%KalshiKALSHI
Will the US acquire any new territory?

Will the US acquire any new territory?

0,3 €
Before Jan 2027: 6%KalshiKALSHI
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

129,3K €
United Russia (ER): 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

SolanaSOL$68.16-4.33%BitcoinBTC$62,425.95-2.45%EthereumETH$1,687.57-3.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.0822-3.09%BNBBNB$571.73-2.95%XRPXRP$1.12-4.08%

Notizie Correlate

Iran threatens Hormuz shutdown as Israel strikes put U.S. deal at riskCrypto NewsChina vows countermeasures over Taiwan tip site as Polymarket invasion odds slipBlockchain.NewsTrump Iran MOU heads to Congress as Polymarket invasion odds tick up to 12.5%Blockchain.NewsTrump rebukes Israel at G7 as Polymarket cuts Switzerland to 74.6%Blockchain.NewsHormuz reopens after U.S.-Iran deal as Polymarket puts Mbappe at 15.5%Blockchain.NewsIran signs MoU to end war as Polymarket puts Trump oil relief at 92%Blockchain.News

Regole

For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.

Manifold Markets
  • This is determined based on the following method:
  • On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
  • Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
  • Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
  • Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].