Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
0.1 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneGeopoliticaChessSport3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%+0.1pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
9,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.2% / 5.5%
Spread
2.3 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
25 mar 26, 16:55 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) and the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), the CPC becomes the favorite in the "338Canada Seat Projection" (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection) at any published data point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Equal seat projections will not qualify; the CPC must have a strictly higher seat projection than the LPC.
- Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
- Revisions indicating a qualifying projection that are released within this market’s timeframe will be considered, but will not invalidate a previously released data point that resolved the market.
- Revisions published after the specified timeframe will not be considered.