Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026
Materie primeOne-OffMedio OrienteGeopolitica2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 15 ott 2026, 12:57 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 92%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto25 mag 26, 01:53 UTC1 gen 27, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?
PolymarketWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco 2026 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 27.5M lbs U3O8?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by
- Resolution criteria from Polymarket
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
- An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
