Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.5%
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto29 dic 25, 23:10 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketIran to agree to end uranium enrichment by ?
FutuurWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco 2026 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 27.5M lbs U3O8?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran enriches uranium to 90% purity (weapons-grade) or higher at any point during 2026, as verified by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or credible intelligence assessments.
- Resolution will be based on reports from the IAEA (https://www.iaea.org/), official statements from the U.S. State Department or intelligence community, or peer-reviewed analysis from established nuclear research institutions such as the Institute for Science and International Security (https://isis-online.org/).
- The market resolves NO if Iran does not achieve weapons-grade enrichment during 2026, regardless of whether it increases enrichment levels below 90%.
- As of June 2025, Iran possessed 441 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%, which is just below weapons-grade.
- Weapons-grade uranium is enriched to 90%.
Mercati aperti
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 395,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 395,6K €
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 198,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 198,2K €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 78,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 78,5K €
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026??
- Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria