FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 16%In testa tra 3 esiti
December 31 16%Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,9K €
Liquidità mediaTrader
22
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?
PolymarketIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026
Manifold MarketsRegole
This event groups markets by the time period in which Iran formally agrees to end all uranium enrichment activities.
- The alternative whose end date contains the date of the agreement will be the winning outcome. "Agreement" is defined as Iran signing, ratifying, or formally accepting a binding international agreement (bilateral with the US or multilateral) that commits Iran to permanently cease all uranium enrichment.
- A non-binding statement of intent, a temporary pause, or a unilateral Iranian declaration without a corresponding signed agreement does not qualify.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements by the governments of Iran and the United States, or by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), or concordant reporting by reliable news outlets chosen at Futuur’s discretion confirming that a binding agreement has been signed.
- The date of the agreement is the date it is signed or formally accepted, not the date enrichment physically stops.
