Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?
13.5 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAMedio OrienteGeopolitica3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No Meeting by December 31 33.6%+13.5ptIn testa tra 19 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
No Meeting by December 31 33.6%+13.5ptQualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6,6K €
Liquidità
181,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
22 set 26, 23:06 UTC31 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWhen will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
KalshiRegole
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
- This market will resolve according to the country in which the next direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran begins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation.
- A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
- A diplomatic meeting is senior-level if each listed entity is represented by a head of state, a head of government, or a vice president; a foreign minister; a minister of cabinet rank; the secretary or head of a national security council; the presiding officer of a national legislature; a special envoy; or another individual designated by the head of state or head of government to conduct diplomatic negotiations on their behalf.
- Individuals authorized only for technical, implementation, monitoring, staff-level, preparatory, or working-group-level talks will not be considered designated to conduct diplomatic negotiations on behalf of the head of state or head of government.