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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Where will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]
Manifold Markets

Where will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]

PoliticaIAGeopolitica6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Iran 100%
In testa tra 43 esiti
Previsori

262

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 giorni fa

Obsoleto
6 gen 26, 11:1431 dic 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Greenland7%

Regole

###Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves YES for any place where the US conducts military strikes, airstrikes, drone strikes, or armed military operations during 2026.
  • Resolution is based on official US government statements, credible news reporting from major outlets, or documented military action.
  • The US has already conducted a large-scale strike on Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro, so Venezuela would resolve YES if it is attacked again.
  • For an answer to resolve YES, there must be documented evidence of kinetic military action (strikes, raids, or armed operations) rather than non-military interventions, sanctions, or covert operations alone.
  • Multiple countries can resolve YES simultaneously.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

###Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves YES for any place where the US conducts military strikes, airstrikes, drone strikes, or armed military operations during 2026.
  • Resolution is based on official US government statements, credible news reporting from major outlets, or documented military action.
  • The US has already conducted a large-scale strike on Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro, so Venezuela would resolve YES if it is attacked again.
  • For an answer to resolve YES, there must be documented evidence of kinetic military action (strikes, raids, or armed operations) rather than non-military interventions, sanctions, or covert operations alone.
  • Multiple countries can resolve YES simultaneously.