KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Dec 1, 2026 22%-5.0ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
70 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6,1K €
Liquidità
367,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 17:00 UTC1 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Pete Hegseth say during 60 Minutes?
KalshiPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiPete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense??
- Kalshi quota Before Dec 1, 2026 al 22% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense??
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.