KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2029 88%In testa tra 11 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2029 88%Qualità del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
5K €
Open interest
468,5K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
12 ott 26, 18:00 UTC1 feb 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2029
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiRegole
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersU.S. Department of WarDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.