KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore Sep 1, 2026 8%-1.5ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
13,8K €
Liquidità
290,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
0.9% / 1.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
7 apr 26, 0:001 ago 26, 3:59
Trend
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before Aug 1, 20261%
Confronta le piattaforme· Before Sep 1, 2026
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto84% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 100% | — | 973,1 € | 22,2K € | 7 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta paginaPiù attiva | Media | 8% | — | 13,8K € | 290,5K € | 27 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
0.3 pts3g
100%
0%
75 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale108,2K €
Volume 24h973,1 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$15.7k2 lug26g di dati27 lug
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If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.