KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Nov 1, 2026 69%+52.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
509,9 €
Liquidità
29,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 17:00 UTC1 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItRegole
If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Pete Hegseth departure announced??
- Kalshi quota Before Nov 1, 2026 al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Pete Hegseth departure announced??
- Pete Hegseth departure announced? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Pete Hegseth departure announced??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.