KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2027 31%In testa tra 5 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2027 31%Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,1K €
Open interest
48,5K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 17:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2027
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be impeached?
KalshiWill Pete Hegseth be impeached by the house in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersU.S. Department of WarDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.