Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 76%
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto10 mar 26, 19:42 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be impeached by the house in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- Pete Hegseth is currently the Secretary War, having been sworn in on January 25, 2025, as the 29th Secretary of Defense before the department's name was changed on September 5, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Hegseth holds the position of Secretary of War on December 31, 2026, and NO if he does not.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official U.S. Department of War website (https://www.war.gov/About/Secretary-of-War/) or official government announcements regarding the Secretary of War's identity on that date.
- The Secretary of War is the head of the United States Department of Defense and is a high-ranking member of the cabinet of the United States.
- In September 2025, President Donald Trump authorized "secretary of war" as a secondary title for use by the secretary of defense.