Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 62.1%
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29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
10 mar 26, 19:42 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketPete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- Pete Hegseth is currently the Secretary War, having been sworn in on January 25, 2025, as the 29th Secretary of Defense before the department's name was changed on September 5, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Hegseth holds the position of Secretary of War on December 31, 2026, and NO if he does not.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official U.S. Department of War website (https://www.war.gov/About/Secretary-of-War/) or official government announcements regarding the Secretary of War's identity on that date.
- The Secretary of War is the head of the United States Department of Defense and is a high-ranking member of the cabinet of the United States.
- In September 2025, President Donald Trump authorized "secretary of war" as a secondary title for use by the secretary of defense.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026??
- Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria