KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeMary Peltola 54.5%-8.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,6K €
Liquidità
63,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
42.0% / 45.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
31 gen 26, 4:303 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Dan Sullivan44%
Confronta le piattaforme· Mary Peltola
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 60% | +5pt | 1,7K € | 54,4K € | 22 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta paginaPiù attiva | Media | 55% | 0pt | 2,6K € | 63,1K € | 22 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Alaska Senate Election Winner
4.0 pts3m
+2.5pt60%
-4.0pt40%
0%
+26 altri esiti
77 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale326,6K €
Volume 24h1,7K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements.
- Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$2.9k2 lug27g di dati28 lug
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If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements.
- Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified.