Manifold Markets
Mercado de predicción de dinero ficticio donde cualquiera puede crear y operar mercados usando mana, una moneda virtual que nunca puede canjearse por dinero real. No se necesita verificación de identidad para unirse.
Visitar Manifold MarketsDisponibilidad
Fuente de pronóstico o dinero ficticio; la elegibilidad de trading no aplica.
KYC / Identidad
No se requiere verificación de identidad
Metodología y acceso
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Liquida en
Mana (play money)
Tipo de mercado
Limit orders + AMM (CPMM)
Estadísticas en vivo
Mercados abiertos34.479
Mercados totales49.948
Participantes965.399
Prom. pronosticadores/pregunta19.8
Prom. resultados/mercado4.0
Tasa de resolución31%
Última actualización21 oct 2026, 3:29
Categorías Principales
1. One-Off31351 Mercados abiertos
2. Política6267 Mercados abiertos
3. US Politics5376 Mercados abiertos
4. IA5313 Mercados abiertos
5. Tecnología5023 Mercados abiertos
Historial de resoluciones
12,173 mercados resueltos · desde 2022 · 100% con marca de tiempo del proveedor
Explorar en CoinRithm
Lecturas relacionadas
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Mercados abiertos
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill this question get 111 traders in 555 days? (October 23, 2026) UTC
- 10 traders in 10 days (April 26)100%
- 20 traders in 20 days (May 6)100%
- 30 traders in 125 days (August 19)100%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 12,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,1 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy the end of 2050, what will my best guess be for the number of people that have died from climate change since 2000?
- 1M-10M-2.6pt22.7%
- <10K (includes negative numbers)19.7%
- 10M-100M-14.0pt18.9%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,9 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Voyager 2 stop transmitting any scientific data?
- 2028-2.3pt11.1%
- 2027-3.1pt10.2%
- 2026-0.7pt10%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 48,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will I reach 100 pounds?
- Before Aug 2027+48.8pt98.8%
- Before May 2027+48.0pt98%
- Before Feb 2027+11.7pt90.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 771,7 €
- Volumen 24h
- 364,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
- Arthur100%
- Bertha100%
- Cristobal100%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 93,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAs of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?
- Ardian32.8%
- Apollo-1.7pt6.5%
- Lexington-1.1pt2.5%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 30,3 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGas Price on October 26
- 4.1999 or more?-42.0pt48%
- 4.2199 or more?-53.8pt26.2%
- 4.2399 or more?-44.3pt18.4%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich results will happen during Week 8 of the College Football Season?
- Delaware defeats Missouri State+40.9pt99.9%
- Miami (FL) defeats Pittsburgh92%
- UConn defeats UMass85%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,4 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will an AI Model first score >= 170 on the Epoch Capabilities Index?
- October 2026+37.5pt64.1%
- November 2026-25.4pt13.2%
- December 2026-10.4pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 539,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS(Week 1) NBA 2026-27 Mega-Market: All Games 🏀
- 76ers beat Knicks (10/20)100%
- Thunder beat Spurs (10/20)+36.5pt88%
- Spurs beat Mavericks (10/24)-1.0pt72%
+40 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,4 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSOklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs, Oct 20
- Oklahoma City Thunder+36.0pt90%
- San Antonio Spurs-36.0pt10%
- Volumen total
- 22,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 23,7 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat percent of people will be micro-chipped by 2040?
- 0%14.7%
- 100%-3.9pt13.4%
- 1%7.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 24 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
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