Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual8 14.4%Líder entre 16 opciones
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+11.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado23 mar 26, 18:22 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the number of problems displayed as solved at https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems .
- Any new problems added to that page after market creation will not contribute to the total.
- I will not trade in this market.
- See also this market for EOY2027: https://manifold.markets/bh/how-many-frontiermath-open-problems-SzcLglOOOs?r=Ymg
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 8 al 14% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved in 2026??
- Está previsto que How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the number of problems displayed as solved at https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems .