Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual7 10.1%Líder entre 16 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado23 mar 26, 18:33 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026
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Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the number of problems displayed as solved at https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems
- I will not trade in this market.
- See also this market for EOY2026: https://manifold.markets/bh/how-many-frontiermath-open-problems?r=Ymg
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 7 al 10% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027??
- Está previsto que How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the number of problems displayed as solved at https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems