KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Claude 60%-1.5ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
67,3 mil €
Liquidez
5,4 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.3 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
1 ene 26, 15:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volumen total
- 241,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 128 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 349,4 mil €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-2.5pt88%
- October 31-6.0pt71%
- September 30-16.0pt13%
+4 resultados más
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Best AI at the end of 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Claude al 60% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Best AI at the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Best AI at the end of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Best AI at the end of 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.