KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Dec 31, 2026 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%Líder entre 9 opciones
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
26,8 mil €
Interés abierto
166 mil US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Dec 31, 2026Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
20 oct 26, 3:30 UTC31 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Before Sep 25, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 2, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 9, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 16, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 23, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 30, 2026Perdida
Before Nov 6, 2026Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Dec 31, 2026
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Manifold MarketsOn what date will OpenAI release GPT-6.2 Astra?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a frontier model with a 5:1 or better abstention to hallucination ratio on SimpleQA?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a Frontier Model trained according to their "Why LLMs hallucinate" paper?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Dec 31, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 25, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 2, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 9, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 23, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 6, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
