KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Nov 1, 2026 80%+30.0ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Before Nov 1, 2026 80%+30.0ptCalidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
11,5 mil €
Liquidez
14,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
10.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
24 sept 26, 2:00 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:OpenAITechCrunchThe VergeArs TechnicaWiredReutersBloomberg TechnologyThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal Technology sectionVentureBeatEngadgetThe New York Times Technology sectionAssociated Press Technology coverageAxios Technology newsletterPolitico Technology coverage
- The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages.
- Implementation includes direct integration into the product's interface, automatic application to user accounts, user-initiated activation through official controls, API implementation, or policy changes that operationally enforce the function.
- Announcements without deployment, employee-only testing, technical documentation without implementation, and third-party additions without authorization do not qualify.
- The implementation must occur in the United States unless otherwise specified.
- If it meets these conditions, it counts from the first date it is live for users outside the company, including in a gradual rollout or a waitlist, invitation-only, or paid-tier release.