KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%Líder entre 4 opciones
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
214,9 €
Liquidez
647,8 €
Baja liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
24 sept 26, 2:00 UTC1 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Mythos?
KalshiClaude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release Opus 6?
KalshiWill Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If an Anthropic product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:AnthropicTechCrunchThe VergeArs TechnicaWiredReutersBloomberg TechnologyThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal Technology sectionVentureBeatEngadgetThe New York Times Technology sectionAssociated Press Technology coverageAxios Technology newsletterPolitico Technology coverage
- The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages.
- Implementation includes direct integration into the product's interface, automatic application to user accounts, user-initiated activation through official controls, API implementation, or policy changes that operationally enforce the function.
- Announcements without deployment, employee-only testing, technical documentation without implementation, and third-party additions without authorization do not qualify.
- The implementation must occur in the United States unless otherwise specified.
- If it meets these conditions, it counts from the first date it is live for users outside the company, including in a gradual rollout or a waitlist, invitation-only, or paid-tier release.
