Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.8%
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
5 ago 26, 23:16 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves to YES if, between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, Anthropic officially releases a new, distinct model line that does not belong to any of the following four existing categories:
- Claude Haiku
- Claude Sonnet
- Claude Fable
- An "officially released model line" is defined as a model announced via Anthropic's official communication channels (such as the Anthropic News Page or official developer documentation) featuring entirely new branding or tier classifications distinct from the four categories listed above.
- Clarifications and Edge Cases:
