Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 99%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado6 ago 26, 0:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if OpenAI officially releases a new model family to the general public or via its developer API on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, a "new model family" is defined as:
- Any model officially designated under the GPT-6 lineage (e.g., GPT-6, GPT-6o, GPT-6-mini).
- The official public or API release of the "Astra" model family (regardless of whether it is branded as "Astra," GPT-6, or another major name).
