KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 95 25%Líder entre 7 opciones
Above 95 25%Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
215,2 €
Interés abierto
933,7 €
Interés abierto bajoSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
1 oct 26, 4:00 UTC8 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
ChatGPT App Downloads in September
KalshiGrubhub App Downloads in October
KalshiDraftKings App Downloads in October
KalshiInstacart App Downloads in October
KalshiWill Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ChatGPT App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Above 95
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 105
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 105 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 115
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 115 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 130
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 130 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 80 , then the market resolves to Yes.
