Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.1%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 22:46 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if Claude (by Anthropic) reaches or exceeds ChatGPT's monthly active users at any point before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on publicly reported figures from Anthropic and OpenAI, or credible third-party sources such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or The Verge.
- As of April 2026, ChatGPT has ~900M weekly active users vs Claude's ~18.9M monthly active users.
Mercados abiertos
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- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
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+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
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- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
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- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
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- 322,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if Claude (by Anthropic) reaches or exceeds ChatGPT's monthly active users at any point before December 31, 2026.