Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 5:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 81%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado18 may 26, 6:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bluesky exceed 50 million monthly active users before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsMercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3
KalshiLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiWhich of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cursor (developed by Anysphere) publicly reports, or if there is credible, widely-cited media reporting confirming, that it has reached at least 10 million monthly active users (MAU) at any point before January 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Resolution will be based on announcements from Anysphere, official company blog posts, or reports from major, reputable financial or technology news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, The Information, TechCrunch).
- Cursor is an AI-first code editor built on top of Visual Studio Code.
- It has experienced rapid growth since its launch, with recent reports as of early 2026 indicating that the platform had surpassed 1 million daily active users (DAU) and was serving over 50,000 business customers.
