PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Paul Mescal 33%+3.7ptLíder entre 49 opciones
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
708,4 €
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
15.7% / 22.8%
Spread
7.1 pt
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-3.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
18 may 26, 23:0331 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Paul Mescal33%
Comparar plataformas· Paul Mescal
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Media | 41% | — | 1,7 mil € | 655,6 mil € | hace 27 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketMás activa82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 0% | — | 11,2 mil € | 0 € | hace 25 días | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baja | 33% | — | 708,4 € | 8,5 mil € | hace 7 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 38% | — | — | — | hace 27 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total3,4 M €
Volumen 24h11,2 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Kalshi
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
3a
41%
21%
16%
+21 resultados más
74 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total1,2 M €
Volumen 24h1,7 mil €
KALSHITambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2a
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario29 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — Nohace 6 d
KALSHITom Holland — Nohace 6 d$1.3k49.0%KALSHICallum Turner — Yeshace 10 d
KALSHICallum Turner — Yeshace 10 d$4.3k96.0%KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — Nohace 12 d
KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — Nohace 12 d$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — Nohace 12 d
KALSHIRichard Madden — Nohace 12 d$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — Nohace 12 d
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — Nohace 12 dTendencia de volumen
$8072 jul26d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.