KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualCallum Turner 44%+2.0ptLíder entre 24 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
656,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 43 minutos
27 jun 25, 19:221 ene 30, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Jacob Elordi14%
Comparar plataformas· Callum Turner
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 44% | — | 1,6 mil € | 656,8 mil € | hace 43 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa87% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 0% | — | 11,2 mil € | 0 € | hace 27 días | Abrir → |
| Polymarket82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 32% | — | 0 € | 9,7 mil € | hace 43 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 38% | — | — | — | hace 29 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total3,4 M €
Volumen 24h11,2 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2a
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario29 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
5m
+1.0pt32%
-12.8pt30%
+5.0pt27%
+46 resultados más
34 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total15,9 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr.
- No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- If Aaron Taylor-Johnson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tom Hardy is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Henry Cavill is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — Nohace 8 d
KALSHITom Holland — Nohace 8 d$1.3k49.0%KALSHICallum Turner — Yeshace 12 d
KALSHICallum Turner — Yeshace 12 d$4.3k96.0%KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — Nohace 13 d
KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — Nohace 13 d$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — Nohace 13 d
KALSHIRichard Madden — Nohace 13 d$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — Nohace 13 d
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — Nohace 13 dTendencia de volumen
$1.8k2 jul28d de datos29 jul
Mercados Relacionados
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
812,8 mil €Mark Kelly: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: Rotten Tomatoes score
886,1 mil €Above 92: 12%KALSHI
KALSHI
Marvel: Sadie Sink cast as next Jean Grey?
256,9 mil €Sí: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
32,6 mil €>280m: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
32,5 mil €Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
“Spider-Man: Brand New Day” Rotten Tomatoes Score?
29,5 mil €80+: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Reglas
If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr.
- No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- If Aaron Taylor-Johnson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tom Hardy is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Henry Cavill is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.