KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Ralph Fiennes 38%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
23 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
278,8 €
Baja liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
8 ene 26, 23:00 UTC1 ene 31, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
KalshiNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWho will direct the next James Bond Film?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+36 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,6 mil €
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Crew Girl: Season 142.6%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+12.0pt31.1%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams12.3%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 57,1 mil €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+1.0pt24.8%
- Dee Valladares+4.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer13.8%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,1 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
- Above 55-5.0pt83%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 306,3 mil €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+35.0pt78%
- 70-80M-35.3pt21%
- 90M+-1.3pt1%
+4 resultados más
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt49%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt25%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt12%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond actor?
- Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M?
- Kalshi cotiza Ralph Fiennes al 38% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M?
- Está previsto que Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.