Probabilidad implícita actual
Alibaba 45.1%+1.5ptLíder entre 11 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
60 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
347,8 €
Liquidez
4,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.7 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+2.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
12 ago 26, 23:55 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
KalshiTop Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
KalshiTop Chinese AI Company this month
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,7 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Best Chinese AI Company end of October??
- Polymarket cotiza Alibaba al 45% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Best Chinese AI Company end of October??
- Está previsto que Best Chinese AI Company end of October? se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Best Chinese AI Company end of October??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.