Probabilidad implícita actual
Other 50%Líder entre 25 opciones
Calidad del mercado
65 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4 mil €
Liquidez
6,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
-27.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
12 ago 26, 23:5531 oct 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt88.1%
- Yes-1.0pt11.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 97,5 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 10,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 85 mil €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-0.1pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 34,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 54,5 mil €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt69%
- Yes+0.5pt31%
- Volumen total
- 230,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 16,8 mil €
POLYMARKETSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Z.ai+49.5pt63%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October??
- Polymarket cotiza Other al 50% a fecha de 22 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October??
- Está previsto que Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.