US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
16.0% (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffIAChina5m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualSí 10%-0.2%
Calidad del mercado
61 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
9,2 mil €
Liquidez
8,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
8.0% / 11.0%
Spread
37.5%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+3.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
3 jul 26, 21:4931 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes10%
Tendencia de volumen
$10.5k3 jul24d de datos26 jul
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This market resolves "Yes" if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action that directly has the effect of generally removing public access within the US to a major Chinese AI model, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
- A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a removal of general public access to a previously publicly available AI model within the US.
- Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target.
- An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of a model to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, the providing company generally removed public access to the model within the US).
- A general removal of public access to a qualifying model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance).