PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
No 93%
No 93%Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
418,6 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
3,6 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
NoSpread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
14 jul 26, 2:14 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
KalshiWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action with the intent to ban distribution to, access for, or use of an open source AI model by the general public within the US, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
- “Open source AI model" refers to a general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights and source are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware (e.g., Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen). "Source available" AI models will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable use.
- Narrow or special-purpose models (e.g., embedding, moderation, or single-modality media generation models) and deprecated, research-only, or preview-only models will not qualify.
- To qualify, a ban must target ordinary public access to the model across ordinary public channels within the US.
- A ban with the intention to remove access from a single channel is not sufficient.
