KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualSí 17%-2.0%
Calidad del mercado
80 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
278,8 €
Liquidez
33,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 minutos
4 ene 26, 3:001 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes17%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general82% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 97% | — | 671,7 € | 35,4 mil € | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Alta | 83% | — | 278,8 € | 33,6 mil € | hace 27 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
0.3%5m
-0.3%97%
-2.0%43%
20%
+1 resultados más
91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total91,5 mil €
Volumen 24h671,7 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$3172 jul25d de datos26 jul
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If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.