Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
0.5 pts (24h)AirdropIATecnologíaYearlyChina2m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
#3 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Referencia guardada
#3 25%Líder entre 4 opciones
#3 25%Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
12,3 €
Liquidez
27 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
35,7 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
#3Spread
—
Comentarios
3
Cambio 7d
+1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
2 abr 26, 21:57 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
#10Ganada
#5Ganada
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · #3
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
PolymarketA Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
- This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.
