Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNov-Dec 2026 53.4%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-7.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado2 ene 26, 22:51 UTC1 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will the tesla share price first exceed $500?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES when Tesla's stock price (TSLA) closes at or above $500 on any trading day.
- Resolution will be verified using official closing prices from NASDAQ or Yahoo Finance.
- The market resolves NO if the stock never reaches $500 by the specified end date.
- Tesla's stock closed at $449.78 on December 31, 2025, requiring approximately an 11% gain to reach $500.
- The stock reached an intraday high of $498.83 on December 22, 2025, coming within 0.2% of the target.
Mercados abiertos
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 104,6 mil €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 79,6 mil €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 185,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 resultados más
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Tesla share price reach $500??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Nov-Dec 2026 al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Tesla share price reach $500??
- Está previsto que When will Tesla share price reach $500? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Tesla share price reach $500??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria