KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual7,800 to 7,999.99 12%-1.0%Líder entre 27 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
9,3 mil €
Liquidez
3,2 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.3%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
23 dic 25, 15:0031 dic 26, 21:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
7,800 to 7,999.9912%
Comparar plataformas· 7,800 to 7,999.99
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 12% | — | 9,3 mil € | 3,2 M € | hace 19 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets83% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 97% | — | — | — | hace 3 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026
5m
97%
+0.5%93.5%
92%
+16 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario16 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.0k98.0%KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — Nohace 6 d
KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — Nohace 6 dTendencia de volumen
$10.6k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
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If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.