Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualOther 27.4%Líder entre 20 opciones
Pronosticadores
42
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-3.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado15 sept 23, 17:01 UTC2 jul 30, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will win the 2034 Fields Medals?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiLowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiReglas
Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners.
- Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners.
- This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else.
- If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.