KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before 2027 64%-8.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
585,7 €
Liquidez
801 €
Baja liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
12 sept 26, 22:00 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
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PolymarketReglas
If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem counts as solved on the first date that, by Expiration, remains unretracted and either:
- A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as originally formulated by the Clay Mathematics Institute is published in a reputable peer-reviewed mathematics or scientific journal.
- CMI or another recognized academic governing or recognition body officially states that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies themselves report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.
- A preprint, announcement, blog post, conference presentation, technical report, or machine-checked formalization does NOT by itself constitute a solution, but may be the written work relied upon for official recognition or qualifying Source Agency reporting.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 63,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 63,6 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,5 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 27,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,4 mil €
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem??
- Kalshi cotiza Before 2027 al 64% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem??
- Está previsto que When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.