Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
WeatherOne-OffCiencia2a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 82%
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
17 €
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
13.0% / 19.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
21 jun 25, 17:00 UTC31 dic 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiWill a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
Polymarket8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiReglas
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:USGS
Mercados abiertos
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 141,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 129,1 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 72,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 71,8 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 71,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 82% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.