PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 97%-0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
1.9% / 3.4%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-10.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
3 abr 26, 22:44 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601).
- For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point.
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027??
- Está previsto que Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.