What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Ciencia3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual4.6 to 5.0 34.8%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
11 ene 26, 9:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the highest magnitude earthquake occurring within the Campi Flegrei (Phlegraean Fields) region in Italy during the year 2026.
- The resolution will be determined using data from the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), which provides comprehensive seismic monitoring for the area.
- The specific magnitude ranges for resolution are:
- the named outcome
- The highest recorded magnitude within the specified period will determine the outcome.
Mercados abiertos
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 57,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 86,7 mil €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+38.1pt70%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 153,9 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+5.0pt75.5%
- 2-0.5pt21.6%
- 32%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-3.6pt77%
- No23%
- Volumen total
- 286,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,5 mil €
- When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 4.6 to 5.0 al 35% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026??
- Está previsto que What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria