What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Ciencia2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 16:10 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual5.6 to 6.0 37.8%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado11 ene 26, 9:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the highest magnitude earthquake occurring within the Campi Flegrei (Phlegraean Fields) region in Italy during the year 2026.
- The resolution will be determined using data from the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), which provides comprehensive seismic monitoring for the area.
- The specific magnitude ranges for resolution are:
- the named outcome
- The highest recorded magnitude within the specified period will determine the outcome.