KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 75%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
8,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
19.0% / 24.5%
Spread
5.5 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
27 jun 25, 20:45 UTC1 ene 50, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiNatural Disaster in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:ReutersThe Washington PostSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalBBC NewsCNNNBC NewsCBS NewsABC NewsFox NewsMSNBCScientific AmericanNatureScience MagazineSpace NewsSpaceflightNowNASAthe European Space AgencySpaceXthe China National Space AdministrationRoscosmosthe Indian Space Research Organisationthe Japan Aerospace Exploration AgencyBlue OriginVirgin Galacticthe Mars Societythe Planetary SocietyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg News
Mercados abiertos
SpaceKALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+4.0pt93%
- Above 8+26.0pt70%
- Above 97%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 348,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 60,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.3pt98%
- Google-0.5pt1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+18 resultados más
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes51%
- No49%
- Volumen total
- 254,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 29,8 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic88.1%
- Google-0.3pt7.9%
- Meta-0.1pt2%
+18 resultados más
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 31-0.1pt96%
- Super Heavy booster explodes?-1.0pt89%
- Successful splash down?+15.5pt83%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt72%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-5.0pt41%
- Before May 1, 2027-13.0pt37%
+8 resultados más
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
- Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will humans colonize Mars before 2050??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will humans colonize Mars before 2050??
- Está previsto que Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will humans colonize Mars before 2050??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.