Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Mars 74.1%Líder entre 8 opciones
Mars 74.1%Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado23 abr 23, 17:36 UTC2 ene 03, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
KalshiWill a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Manifold MarketsIs there a Black Hole in our Solar System?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketReglas
Can be planets, moons, novel space stations at Langrage points
- Resolves to:
- First non-earth location that has humans living on it for 1+ years with an intention of living there long-term