Pronóstico comunitario actual
Zohran Mamdani 85%Líder entre 39 opciones
Pronosticadores
61
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado13 mar 26, 22:32 UTC1 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurReglas
Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME.
- If no shortlist is released, everything resolves no.
- Must be explicitly named as the headline.
- If ‘The Iranian People’ was on the shortlist, Iranians like the named outcome wouldn’t count.
- Even if they named him in the blurb about Iranian people.
- (Excludes Artemis|| , individual astronauts would resolve yes if Artemis || is named)
Mercados abiertos
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Zohran Mamdani al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist??
- Está previsto que Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist? se resuelva el 1 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME.