Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
US PoliticsOne-OffIARussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 64%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado11 dic 25, 20:45 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.).
- This market is different from the other similar market, as this market will resolve NO in cases of a person + a concept.
- This market resolves NO if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is:
- A group or concept (e.g. "The Architects of A.I.," "You")
- A person and a concept (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine," or theoretically "Sam Altman and ChatGPT")
- More than one specific named individual (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris", "Ronald Reagan and Yuri Andropov")
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 64% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person??
- Está previsto que Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.).