Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 18 jun 2026, 23:24 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actualMay 31 0%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 días
Desactualizado20 may 26, 19:0331 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
June 302%
Comparar plataformas· December 31
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general93% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 12% | — | 15,9 mil € | 183,4 mil € | hace 4 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 12% | — | — | — | hace 23 días |
También disponible en Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
1.0%5m
+1.0%12%
+1.5%7%
+0.1%1%
+4 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total24,9 M €
Volumen 24h15,9 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.