KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 21, 2029 21%-2.0ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
29,3 €
Liquidez
78,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
7 ene 26, 15:00 UTC1 ene 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
LimitlessWill Trump make Cuba an American Territory?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Times
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US acquire any new territory??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 21, 2029 al 21% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US acquire any new territory??
- Está previsto que Will the US acquire any new territory? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US acquire any new territory??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.