Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualEric Lucan 61%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado15 jun 26, 16:583 nov 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
the named outcome and the named outcome were the two leading candidates in the California Primaries that took place in early June.
- At this stage, it is a near certainty that both candidates will move on to the run-off election on November 3, 2026.
- To cover the unlikely possibility that one of the two candidates is not certified to move on to the run-off election, this market offers a third choice "Other."
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the November 3, 2026 general election for the California State Assembly District 12 seat.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Eric Lucan al 61% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat??
- Está previsto que Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: the named outcome and the named outcome were the two leading candidates in the California Primaries that took place in early June.