Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 8 sept 2026, 20:35 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Pronóstico comunitario actual70+ 100%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado13 may 26, 23:17 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketPrice of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026
Manifold MarketsBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWill NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a moon base by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Spotify Market: https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-my-most-streamed-spotif-z5QI2QIUtN
- I will do no trades.
Mercados abiertos
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 2027+5.5pt56.8%
- June 30, 202734.2%
- December 31, 20268.1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 79,5 mil €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M-0.5pt59%
- $1B-4.0pt46%
- $2B43%
+7 resultados más
MANIFOLD MARKETSPrice of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026
- $12,000-$13,999+7.5pt32.2%
- $14,000-$15,999+4.1pt18.1%
- $10,000-$11,999+3.7pt16.9%
+3 resultados más
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Volumen total
- 80 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 97,1 €
- Volumen 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 resultados más
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- What is the base of the next nice number?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 70+ al 100% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get??
- Está previsto que How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Spotify Market: https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-my-most-streamed-spotif-z5QI2QIUtN