Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2100 28.5%Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado27 nov 23, 12:11 UTC1 ene 01, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsUSD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
KalshiWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurReglas
Resolved to the % of energy from nuclear power for each year, including fusion, according to our world in data:
- https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption
- [image](I will calculate the % base on the numbers in this graph)
- Note that electricity was only about 20% of global energy use in 2022 (https://yearbook.enerdata.net/electricity/share-electricity-final-consumption.html)
- If our world in data does not refresh their data I will propose and select another resolution source.
- I will not trade in the market.
Mercados abiertos
base
POLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 2027-1.0pt53.9%
- June 30, 202736.5%
- December 31, 20268.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B50%
- $2B43%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 644,7 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 58,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,1 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Volumen total
- 80,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 97,2 €
- Volumen 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 resultados más
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- What is the base of the next nice number?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What share of global energy will come from nuclear power??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2100 al 29% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What share of global energy will come from nuclear power??
- Está previsto que What share of global energy will come from nuclear power? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2101.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What share of global energy will come from nuclear power??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolved to the % of energy from nuclear power for each year, including fusion, according to our world in data: