KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 25.1% 98%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
8,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
27 jul 26, 14:00 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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Manifold MarketsUSD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCPI in September
KalshiReglas
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:World Bank
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
- The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
- “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
- Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 247,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 79,4 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Volumen total
- 3,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 18,6 mil €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 131,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 1,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,1 mil €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Volumen total
- 379,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,3 mil €
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US share of global GDP in 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza Above 25.1% al 98% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US share of global GDP in 2026?
- Está previsto que US share of global GDP in 2026 se resuelva el 1 de julio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US share of global GDP in 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.